|PWC: Six predictions in real estate for 2020 and beyond - in brief|
|English Section Publicat de Elena Icleanu 21 Nov 2016 09:33|
The changing real estate landscape will have substantial implications for the real estate investment community, according to an analysis entitled "Real Estate 2020 - Building the Future", and published by Pricewaterhouse Coopers (PwC).
1. The global investable real estate universe will expand substantially, leading to a huge expansion in opportunity, especially in emerging economies. World population growth and increasing GDP per capita will propel this expansion. By 2020, investable real estate will have grown by more than 55% compared to 2012, according to PwC forecasts, and then will expand by a similar proportion in the following decade.
2. Fast-growing cities will present a wider range of risk and return opportunities. Cities will present opportunities ranging from low risk/ low yield in advanced economy core real estate, to high risk/high reward in emerging economies. The greatest social migration of all time - chiefly in emerging economies - will drive the biggest ever construction surge.
3. Technology innovation and sustainability will be key drivers for value. All buildings will need to have "sustainability" ratings, while new developments will need to be "sustainable" in the broadest sense, providing their residents with pleasant places to live. Technology will disrupt real estate economics, making some types of real estate obsolete.
4. Collaborating with governments will become more important. Real estate managers, the investment community and developers will need to partner with government to mitigate risks of schemes that might otherwise be uneconomic. In many emerging economies, governments will take the lead in developing urban real estate and infrastructure.
5. Competition for prime assets will intensify further. New wealth from the emerging economies will intensify competition for prime assets; the investment community will need to think laterally to earn attractive returns.
6. A broader range of risks will emerge. New risks will emerge. Climate change risk, accelerating behavioral change and political risk will be key.